To paraphrase German theologian Friedrich Gustav Emil Martin Niemöller, “First they came for Georgians, and I did not speak out because it seemed far away.… Then they came for Ukrainians, and I did not speak out because I didn’t want to wake up. Then they came for me. And there was no one left to speak out for me…”
One of the CIA Principles of Intelligence Analysis is: “understand the full picture.” Last month's seemingly unrelated events suggest that things are going fast in the very wrong direction:
Georgia is probably lost for the democratic world after Russia-rigged elections.
Four to six brigades of North Korean troops arrived in Europe and fight Ukrainians just a few days away of forced march to Warsaw or Vilnius.
Russian-Iranian UAVs are taping the Lithuanian, Romanian and Polish airspace to target critical infrastructure.
Russia has been caught in preparing to place explosive packages to blast civil aeroplanes flying over Europe and the US.
Ukraine gets exhausted from almost three years of fighting one-on-one a times bigger Russian villain. Human capital suffers the most, as 25% (twenty-five per cent!) of the population is lost over the last decade.
With the growing self-centrism of the US following the recent elections, “objects in a mirror might be closer than they appear”, and perils are coming closer to everyone's home in Europe.
Since February 2022, financial and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine has cost the average EU/UK citizen two cups of coffee per month. This is catastrophically insufficient for Ukraine to keep the frontline, not to mention end the war.
Attempts to appease Russia led only to tragedies in the past. Don't say later that we didn’t warn you.
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